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How to Read Prediction Market Prices (Without Getting Misled)

How to Read Prediction Market Prices (Without Getting Misled)

By Prediction Hunt · 2025-08-12

How to interpret market prices correctly: use midpoints, account for fees, and watch for uneven information.

basics probability education
The Mirage of “Free Money”: A Story of Cross-Exchange Arbitrage

The Mirage of “Free Money”: A Story of Cross-Exchange Arbitrage

By Prediction Hunt · 2025-08-11

Why “free” arbitrage often isn’t: contract mismatches, invisible costs, and execution risk.

arbitrage strategy
Liquidity: The Staircase I Didnt See

Liquidity: The Staircase I Didnt See

By Prediction Hunt · 2025-08-10

Same price ≠ same trade: depth, spread, stability, and compounding slippage behind the quote.

liquidity execution