Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsArbitrageSmart MoneyTrendingToolsAPI
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • US Presidential Election Hub
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • Tools
  • About
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsArbWhalesTrending

Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential General Election. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

2028 US Presidential General Election

2028-11-05

About This Market

Share

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the 2028 US Presidential General Election. This election will determine the next president, influencing domestic and foreign policies for years to come.

Gavin Newsom leads the “2028 US Presidential General Election” event at 18.8% implied probability. Other contenders include JD Vance (19.8%), Marco Rubio (12.5%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (6.6%), and Kamala Harris (3.6%). A 5.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

3 platforms
GN
Gavin NewsomARB
19% Avg
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket16¢
PredictIt23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%18¢18¢82¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.0%16¢16¢84¢84¢
PredictItPredictIt
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
JV
JD VanceARB
20% Avg
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket18¢
PredictIt24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%18¢18¢82¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%18¢18¢82¢82¢
PredictItPredictIt
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
MR
Marco RubioARB
12% Avg
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket10¢
PredictIt15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
12.0%12¢12¢88¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.0%10¢10¢90¢90¢
PredictItPredictIt
14.5%14¢15¢85¢86¢
AO
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezARB
6% Avg
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket6¢
PredictIt9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢96¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%6¢6¢94¢94¢
PredictItPredictIt
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
KH
Kamala HarrisARB
4% Avg
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket3¢
PredictIt5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%3¢3¢97¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%3¢3¢97¢97¢
PredictItPredictIt
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom is the Governor of California, serving since 2019. He previously held the positions of Lieutenant Governor and Mayor of San Francisco. His tenure as governor and potential candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election make him a key figure in this prediction market.

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will Trump talk to in JanuaryWONPre-event: 49%Who will attend the State of the Union?LOSTPre-event: 0%Who will Donald Trump talk to in March?LOSTPre-event: 3%

About JD Vance

J.D. Vance is the current Vice President of the United States, serving since January 20, 2025. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Ohio from 2023 to 2025. His current role as Vice President makes him a prominent figure in the 2028 U.S. Presidential General Election.

About Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio is the current U.S. Secretary of State under President Donald Trump. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Florida for three terms. His extensive experience in foreign policy and diplomacy makes him a significant figure in the 2028 U.S. Presidential General Election.

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?WONPre-event: 70%

About Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the U.S. Representative for New York's 14th Congressional District. She was elected to Congress in 2018, becoming the youngest woman ever to serve in the U.S. House of Representatives. Her progressive policies and social media presence have made her a prominent figure in American politics.

About Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris is a former U.S. vice president and the Democratic Party's 2024 presidential nominee. She served as vice president from 2021 to 2025 and was defeated by Donald Trump in the 2024 election. Harris is currently considering a potential run in the 2028 presidential election.

About Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro is the current Governor of Pennsylvania, serving since January 17, 2023. Before this, he was the state's Attorney General from 2017 to 2023. His leadership in Pennsylvania positions him as a potential candidate in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the 2028 US Presidential General Election?

The 2028 election will shape the political landscape of the United States for the following four years. Key issues such as healthcare, climate change, and economic policy will be at the forefront.

How do prediction markets work for the 2028 election?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of traders to forecast the likelihood of various outcomes. As new information emerges, such as candidate announcements and polling data, the odds can fluctuate significantly.

What factors influence the odds in prediction markets for this election?

Factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, voter turnout, and current events impacting public opinion. Economic conditions and major political developments can also sway market predictions.

What is "2028 US Presidential General Election" and why does it matter?

2028 US Presidential General Election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Gavin Newsom leads at 19% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include JD Vance at 20%, Marco Rubio at 13%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7%.

What is moving the odds on "2028 US Presidential General Election"?

Gavin Newsom currently leads at 19% implied probability. Behind Gavin Newsom, JD Vance at 20% and Marco Rubio at 13% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 5.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Office of the Presidency
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.8%
Platforms3
Candidates21
Leader

Gavin Newsom

18.8% avg

Market Rulebook: 2028 US Presidential General Election

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Office of the Presidency
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will Trump talk to in January

Resolved

2026-01-31

WONGavin Newsom
Pre-event: 49%

Who will attend the State of the Union?

Resolved

2026-02-24

LOSTGavin Newsom
Pre-event: 0%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in March?

Resolved

2026-03-31

LOSTGavin Newsom
Pre-event: 3%

Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?

Resolved

2026-03-02

WONMarco Rubio
Pre-event: 70%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?