Live prediction market odds for FIFA World Cup Group C Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of Group C in the FIFA World Cup. The outcome will influence knockout stage matchups and national pride as teams compete on a global stage.
Brazil leads the “FIFA World Cup Group C Winner” event at 76.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Morocco (18.8%), Scotland (4.8%), and Haiti (0.5%). A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance in qualifying matches, player injuries, and historical success in the World Cup can all impact odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting patterns also play a role.
Group C matches are scheduled to occur from June 14 to June 27, 2026. The timing is crucial as teams vie for advancement to the knockout rounds.
Winning Group C secures a favorable position in the knockout stage, potentially facing a lower-seeded opponent. This advantage can significantly enhance a team's chances of progressing further in the tournament.
FIFA World Cup Group C Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Brazil leads at 76% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Morocco at 19%, Scotland at 5%, Haiti at 0%.
Brazil currently leads at 76% implied probability. Behind Brazil, Morocco at 19% and Scotland at 5% and Haiti at 0% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Scotland finish first in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil
76.3% avg
