What are the current odds for "Top artist on Spotify in 2026?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Bad Bunny: 81¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Beyoncé: 1¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Kendrick Lamar: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Morgan Wallen: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 74.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Bad Bunny is at 77%?

A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Bad Bunny will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Top artist on Spotify in 2026? Odds — Bad Bunny 77¢, Drake 10¢

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About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the top artist on Spotify for 2026. As streaming trends evolve and new releases impact listener engagement, predictions reflect the competitive landscape of the music industry.

Bad Bunny leads the “Top artist on Spotify in 2026” event at 77.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Beyoncé (38.0%), Kendrick Lamar (25.5%), Morgan Wallen (15.5%), and Chappell Roan (10.5%). A 74.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Live Markets

2 platforms

Bad BunnyARB

77% Avg

83¢

74¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	80.5%	78¢	83¢	17¢	22¢
Polymarket	73.5%	73¢	74¢	26¢	27¢

BeyoncéARB

38% Avg

1¢

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	75.0%	50¢	100¢	0¢	50¢

Kendrick LamarARB

20% Avg

1¢

50¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	40.0%	30¢	50¢	50¢	70¢

Morgan WallenARB

13% Avg

1¢

30¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	25.0%	20¢	30¢	70¢	80¢

Chappell RoanARB

18% Avg

1¢

50¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	35.0%	20¢	50¢	50¢	80¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Bad Bunny

Bad Bunny is a Puerto Rican singer and rapper, currently headlining the 2026 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously led the 2025 Latin Grammy nominations with 12 nods. His prominence in the music industry makes him a strong contender for the top artist spot on Spotify in 2026.

Prediction Market Track Record

2025 Top Spotify ArtistWONPre-event: 99%Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025LOSTPre-event: 1%#1 Searched Person on Google this year?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the top artist on Spotify?

Factors include recent album releases, streaming numbers, and social media presence. Changes in listener demographics and music trends also play a crucial role.

How often do the odds change for this market?

Odds can fluctuate frequently based on new data, such as chart performance and artist activities. Major events like award shows or collaborations may also trigger significant shifts.

What is the significance of predicting the top artist on Spotify?

Identifying the top artist can reflect broader trends in music consumption and popularity. It also highlights the competitive nature of the music industry and artist branding.

What is "Top artist on Spotify in 2026?" and why does it matter?

Top artist on Spotify in 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Bad Bunny leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Beyoncé at 38%, Kendrick Lamar at 26%, Morgan Wallen at 16%.

What is moving the odds on "Top artist on Spotify in 2026?"?

Bad Bunny currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Bad Bunny, Beyoncé at 38% and Kendrick Lamar at 26% and Morgan Wallen at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 74.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Outcome

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Spotify

Polymarket

UMA Optimistic Oracle newsroom.spotify.com

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Stats

Spread74.0%

Platforms2

Candidates9

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Candidate Spotlight

About Bad Bunny

Frequently Asked Questions

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

Historical Track Record

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